TrueGSU.com

Follow GSUFANS.com on
     
Page 5 of 10 FirstFirst ... 34567 ... LastLast
Results 41 to 50 of 97

Thread: SP+ rankings - Sun Belt

  1. #41

    Default Re: SP+ rankings - Sun Belt

    Quote Originally Posted by BillyBob View Post
    I think there's something screwy going on because no way is State's offense better than App. App is better statistically and I don't think they've played any worse a group of defenses

    I'm also wondering why it values App's defense so much. Compare the offenses we've faced:
    1. Compare LSU to ULL
    2. Compare Minnesota to UNC (Minnesota is a lot better)
    3. Compare ULL to Coastal
    4. Compare Coastal to Charlotte

    All that and App's defensive yards per play is 0.2 yards less than ours.
    This isn't saying State is better per se, but rather more effective when it matters. So say App is already up 35-0 in the 4th and they score two more touchdowns. That's considered garbage time so those touchdowns (and the plays leading up to it) won't have a huge impact on their efficiency rating. The flip side, if State is tied 21-21, and they score 10 points in the final 5 minutes, it's going to have a huge impact on their rating. State's defense is pretty awful, so even if they're scoring big numbers, they're going to be in garbage time a whole lot less than App State.

  2. Default Re: SP+ rankings - Sun Belt

    Quote Originally Posted by kdarnell233 View Post
    Keep in mind, the ratings below take into account strength of schedule and garbage time. The numbers are based on point contributions of each unit to the teams scoring margin on a per-play basis. It's on a 0.0-100.0 scale with 50.0 being average. Here's the Sun Belt offenses:

    Georgia State: 76.8
    Louisiana: 72.3
    App State: 70.2
    ULM: 57.0
    Arkansas State: 52.6
    Troy: 46.7
    CCU: 38.4
    Southern: 25.2
    Texas State: 11.6
    South Alabama: 10.3

    Defense:

    App State: 55.5
    Louisiana: 52.3
    Texas State: 48.7
    Southern: 46.6
    CCU: 38.3
    Arkansas State: 37.4
    South Alabama: 32.0
    Georgia State: 27.0
    ULM: 25.7
    Troy: 24.2
    Where are these numbers coming from?

  3. #43
    Join Date
    Mar 2007
    Location
    Warner Robins, GA
    Posts
    27,242

    Default Re: SP+ rankings - Sun Belt

    Quote Originally Posted by Klak View Post
    Where are these numbers coming from?
    I think it's FPI.


  4. #44

    Default Re: SP+ rankings - Sun Belt

    Quote Originally Posted by Klak View Post
    Where are these numbers coming from?
    Quote Originally Posted by eaglewraith View Post
    I think it's FPI.
    ESPN efficiency numbers, separate from FPI

    I compared the ratings to scores for Southern and it had a +\- of 2.5 points per game. Random numbers since I’m not on my computer, but basically if a team had 56.1 offensive rating, we’d be projected to score 15 points against then +\- 2.5 based on actual scores (56.1 and 15 are off the top of my head and random, as I said above)

  5. #45
    Join Date
    Mar 2007
    Location
    Warner Robins, GA
    Posts
    27,242

    Default Re: SP+ rankings - Sun Belt

    Quote Originally Posted by kdarnell233 View Post
    ESPN efficiency numbers, separate from FPI
    That will be a component of FPI though.


  6. #46

    Default Re: SP+ rankings - Sun Belt

    Week 9 Update -

    SP+ Rankings -
    3. LSU
    12. Minnesota
    33. App State
    48. UL-L
    83. Ark State
    93. GS
    97. Troy
    103. GagSt
    104. Coastal Carolina
    108. Texas St
    115. ULM
    121. NMSU
    125. South Alabama


  7. #47

    Default Re: SP+ rankings - Sun Belt

    ESPN FPI Week 10 -

    4. LSU
    20. Minnesota
    42. App State
    52. ULL
    85. Ark State
    94. Gag State
    97. GS
    103. Troy
    104. Coastal Carolina
    113. ULM
    117. Texas State
    123. NMSU
    126. South Bama

    Win probability FPI -
    @App - 12.8%
    @Troy - 48.2%
    ULM - 73.9%
    @Ark St - 35.8%
    GagSt - 56.1%

  8. #48

    Default Re: SP+ rankings - Sun Belt

    Quote Originally Posted by PowerEagle View Post

    Remind me how to read this again
    Once poked Chad Lunsford in the eye.

  9. Default Re: SP+ rankings - Sun Belt

    Quote Originally Posted by GSUEYES View Post
    Remind me how to read this again
    Haven’t you ever seen an eye chart before? 😁

  10. #50

    Default Re: SP+ rankings - Sun Belt

    Our probability of bowl eligibility went from 37% 2 weeks ago and is now just below 80%.
    "Follow the trendlines, not the headlines." -Steven Pinker (?)

    Regarding football Scheduling.

Similar Threads

  1. Sun Belt SOS based off of CBS rankings
    By JDC325 in forum The Flight Line
    Replies: 76
    Last Post: 17th August 2018, 04:26 PM
  2. UDD Fun Belt Power Rankings
    By AUgradGSUgradstudent in forum The Flight Line
    Replies: 1
    Last Post: 29th October 2014, 04:20 PM
  3. SUN BELT GRAPHIC RANKINGS
    By JDC325 in forum The Flight Line
    Replies: 4
    Last Post: 29th October 2014, 02:18 PM
  4. Sun Belt Recruiter Rankings
    By Vegas96 in forum The Flight Line
    Replies: 33
    Last Post: 9th February 2014, 06:27 AM
  5. OUR and YOUR 1st Sun Belt Recruiting Rankings
    By Charlie K. in forum The Flight Line
    Replies: 6
    Last Post: 7th February 2014, 07:01 PM

Bookmarks

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •